Monday, April 16, 2018

Nurul running to no safe place

Bad news again for Nurul Izzah.


She'll be abandoning her old constituency Lembah Pantai as long predicted due to Raja Nong Chik's effort and political investment in said constituency for almost 5 years. Raja Nong Chik has thus become a clear & present danger to Nurul.


Some said she'll go to Permatang Pauh to seek political safety and sanctuary, whilst some suggested she contests in Pandan, a PKR constituency won by Rafizi Ramli in 2013 when the MCA kow-tim-rised Ong Tee Keat.


Ong won Pandan in 2008 but despite being the most popular MCA president at that time (according to a poll) did not contest in 2013 due to sabotage by his own party MCA. UMNO, especially Hishamuddin, also didn't like him as he was far too honest and blunt for the uber-Malay party's liking.

Former MCA president Chua Soi Lek's greatest wrong to the Chinese Malaysians was, no wakakaka not his personal life, but his political destruction of his rival  Ong Tee Keat, as mentioned, probably the most popular MCA leader among Chinese Malaysians in 2012-3. Wee Ka Siong was also in that cabal which saw the marginalisation and destruction of Ong Tee Keat.


disliked by UMNO especially Hishamuddin for revealing corruption amongst education officials

See my 2009 post
Why Ong Tee Keat is worth supporting and saving!

Ong Tee Keat was once described in a Malaysiakini article by columnist Neil Khor, my fellow Penangite and an erudite writer, when then Khor aptly titled his article ‘Fatal Purity’, no doubt borrowed from the title of a book by Ruth Scurr who wrote of Maximilien Robespierre.
 


A quick synopsis of the book in The Observer said: 'Fatal purity' refers to his [Robespierre] reputation for probity in politics and domestic affairs. His nickname in Paris, deserved by all accounts, was 'the Incorruptible'.

He sought power for no reason other than to liberate the people of France from tyranny. He was obsessed with the idea of virtue, in politics and in private, although somehow that didn't stop him sending hundreds of people to their deaths.

And that was what probably gave the sh*ts to Najib and UMNO about Ong. I’ve just read a Malaysiakini letter which stated [extracts]:

Support for Ong Tee Keat, with his agenda of a clean and accountable government would force the same onto MCA, and therefore onto the entire Malaysian political landscape.

I see this as a turning point for Malaysia and as a foreign businessperson this is good news - it's good for business! […]

So the outcome of the MCA EGM, far from being just an internal leadership tussle, I think will have a major impact on all of Malaysia.

So, at least for now, Ong Tee Keat has an important symbolic role to play which helps the current Umno and BN leadership to continue with a progressive political mandate.

Alas, it was not too be. But it could or might have force UMNO to stand in line with a purity fanatic like Ong Tee Keat.
 

Rafizi, who won't contest in GE14 due to his criminal conviction and likely imprisonment, boasted that even a PKR cat can win in Pandan.

I suspect that Nurul will contest in Permatang Pauh whilst her mom moves down to Selangor to contest in Pandan, and also as she wants, to be near hubby.

Pandan is today more unknown than the time Rafizi contested in 2013, because the DAP in Pandan which supported Rafizi, has closed down en masse a few months ago. It's a DAP internal problem, but it's possible the Chinese support there may be a bit iffy though it's not to say there won't be any for the PKR candidate standing there in GE14.


boasted a PKR cat can win in Pandan in GE14 

But compared to Pandan, Permatang Pauh will be far more iffy because PAS has decided it wants to contest in its old traditional seat before Anwar ripped it off PAS. Singapore Straits Times has reported:
Penang PAS (Parti Islam SeMalaysia) Youth chief Afnan Hamimi Taib Azamudden has been as chosen to contest the Permatang Pauh parliamentary seat held by opposition leader Wan Azizah Wan Ismail.


The announcement was made by PAS president Datuk Seri Abdul Hadi Awang during a ceramah at the party's headquarters in Pongsu Seribu here. [...]

Dr Wan Azizah, 64 year-old president of Parti Keadilan Rakyat (PKR), retained the Permatang Pauh seat with a reduced majority of 8841 votes, with a vote count of 30316 in a by-election in 2015.


Princess Iron Fan 


Princess Iron fan
a mythical character from the novel Journey to the West 

Dr Wan has an on-off luck in Permatang Pauh when in 2004 she managed to win by a razor-thin margin but only AFTER 3 re-counts. She did much better in 2008 and 2013, but we need to remember that was when PAS started to back her.

But now that PAS will deny any PKR candidate in Permatang Pauh of both support and their votes, Nurul if thinking of standing in PP may again be in grave danger.

I recommend Lim Guan Eng sacrifices and gifts her his blue-ribbon Bagan constituency, as Nurul has often been touted as a future PM, which only a Malay may be, and concentrate on his Ayer Itam state seat - after all he is the CM and may wish to continue being CM of Penang, or alternatively he may well be in prison again. And besides, he can set a good example to Dr Boo, wakakaka.


Bagan is the purple-shaded area around Butterworth, next to Permatang Pauh 

29 comments:

  1. Ktemoc is making an inaccurate assumption that Permatang Pauhb Opposition support is just PAS voters who have directed their support to PKR. That is only mostly true for the westernmost portion of the constituency, Permatang Pasir.
    The other two areas Seberang Jaya and Permatang Pauh itself are semi-urban areas where PKR has its own intrinsic support.

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  2. A General never runs away from a fight esp. a battle once won before. It always become doubly difficult for an opponent to win against an incumbent.

    With Heaven and Earth under her feet and BN areas changing colours from White to Grey to Black everyday, the signs of Victory is already assured.


    The Malay tsunami in case you doubt it (like Ahjibkor)has already started and surprisingly it is within BN itself spreading out to the urban and finally the rural areas.

    Soldiers inherently always knows what a good or bad General is and if lead by a bad General has only the choice of desertion to live another day.

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    1. hahahahahaha.....Nostro.....hahahahahaha

      So Zhukov should not be fighting in so many fronts.....hahahahaha

      Gee

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    2. How many army General Patton was leading......Nostro pig.....hahahaha

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    3. Napoleon too didn't run away from a fight. But will Nurul await her Waterloo in Lembah Pantai?

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    4. Seriously, you know anything about military tactics or not? I doubt u are human. Watch more blackadder la

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    5. I love watching Blackadder. Napoleon only lost Waterloo becoz Blackadder took him out prior to the fight. But I hazard a guess you're more of a Mr Bean instead. Wakakaka!

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    6. You watch but you never understand. Or u refuse to understand

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    7. Oh i forgot, i assume u watch the part about rotten borough. Sai hei la u know nuts la

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    8. Oh which episode were you referring to? I was talking about the Christmas special where Blackadder went back in time and changed history. Jolly good show there.

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  3. PAS will be contesting in a three-cornered fight with BN and PKR, according to Wikipedia.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lembah_Pantai_(federal_constituency)

    If this is true, go figure who will win this time round, given the slim majority Nurul won Lembah Pantai with in 2013 and 2018, when PAS voters would have voted for PKR.

    This time round, even with PAS voters now split between PAS and Amanah, subtract what is left of PAS support from PKR and it looks like a foregone conclusion that BN will win Lembah Pantai, unless sufficient Pribumi supporters amongst former UMNO voters vote PKR as their new ally.

    As for Pandan, Ong Tee Keat of BN/MCA narrowly beat Syed Syahir Syed Mohamud of PKR with 53.12% versus 46.88% of votes in Pandan in 2008.

    In 2013, Rafizi Ramli of PKR beat Lim Chin Yee of BN/MCA with 66.87% vs 29.78% of votes to capture Pandan for PKR.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pandan_(federal_constituency)

    So OK. Pandan looks safe enough for a PKR candidate but that depends on who runs for BN.

    As for Permatang Pauh, the last time PAS ran was in 1995 when they got 4,071 votes compared then of BN/UMNO who won with 27,945 votes.

    Going back further, PAS' vote in Permatang Pauh varied from 4,000 something to 7.000 something, except for 1978 when PAS narrowly won Permatang Pauh with 11,124 votes versus 10,264 votes for BN/UMNO.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Permatang_Pauh_(federal_constituency)

    Anwar and his family members have been doing well in Permatang Pauh, so it looks like Nurul has a good chance of winning, despite PAS drawing away some votes. since local loyalties tend to prevail on home turf.

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  4. Wakakakaka……

    All these chess moves on seat allocations, of ALL parties, only prove one thing.

    DAP has the resolution to act & achieve it's aim (圍剿??). While all the other mfing politikus dens r playing safe!

    What do u call that in military manoeuvrings? In political game play?

    KT, quick, goes & get hold of yr uncle for a tea leaving reading!

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    1. I've already referred to the Kamikaze Squad, but my Uncs told me to tell you it's the Charge of the Light Brigade in Labis, wakakaka

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    2. Perhaps yr uncle is too sentimental, not a word playing wordsmith like u!

      Charge of the Light Brigade is all about patriotism.

      Kamikaze, foolish or not, is also about ones own interpretation of patriotism!

      But u? Yr implied patriotism in Labis IS about what?

      Yr ego or udangs?

      Looes74 is so on!!!

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    3. Wait a minute. Fighting in labis is akin to charging of light brigade.....whoah....that chua tee yong lannn pa must be too tua kee that boo surrender hah....

      Hahahaha.....must thank chua soi lek.....hahahaha

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    4. Ck, this cheebye kaytee so much about disappearing mh370 and tun fuad stephen and yet dunno how to apply 5 whys

      Come on kaytee. Be scienctic and logically using 5 whys and tell why charge of light brigade happen

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    5. From The Charge of the Light Brigade: who blundered in the Valley of Death?

      Alfred Lord Tennyson, poet laureate, wrote his eponymous verse of the famous action in late 1854, three weeks after reading a report of the battle in The Times. The second stanza begins:

      “Forward, the Light Brigade!
      Was there a man dismayed?
      Not though the soldiers knew
      Some one had blundered”

      So who had blundered? Writing three days after the battle, Lord Raglan blamed Lucan.

      “From some misconception of the order to advance,” he wrote in his official dispatch, “[Lucan] considered that he was bound to attack at all hazards.”

      Lucan was duly recalled to London where he tried – and failed – to clear his name. Did he deserve to shoulder the blame? Lord Cardigan, his former brother-in-law, was not in any doubt. “[Lucan] ought,” wrote Cardigan, “to have had the moral courage to disobey the order till further instructions were issued.”

      “to have had the moral courage to disobey the order till further instructions were issued” says it all

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    6. Cut and paste....hah? Oink oink....use 5 why la....better this way

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    7. Eh.....kaytee....go ask your uncle lei....how long patton take to relieve bastogne....how he did it?

      You know or not....too much preparation and yet no move also die

      Likewise....use same tactics same strategy to deal different different situation

      Kaytee should fuck put in oz land and stop cheebye kaka cau cau in malaysia land

      Kaytee....only u got military uncles hah.....what name? What rank? Corporal? Seargeant

      How lawrence of arabia able to tui lam aqaba hah....through impassable nefud dessert

      As for boo cheng hau, if i got chance.....i will tell directly

      Boh chee, bot hut say so. No need to kau pek kau bu. Very xia sui....chua tee yong also dare to challenge....lat say

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    8. So what's yr draw on The Charge of the Light Brigade?

      Yr uncles IS very clear - follows the order on the ground, rightly or wrongly communicated!

      Yrs? Blamed the field commander for sending A Kamikaze Squad!

      Yr oft-claimed military honours & chain of commands & this twisted explanation of the charge of the Light Brigade r a humongous display of yr double faced ego!

      When it suits u, praise like no tomorrow. When it doesn't comply with yr in situ ego, twist & curse as hell freezes.

      Please lah!

      Don't u ever mess around with military honours! U desecrate those serviced personnel!

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  5. is there any safe malay seat with pas around not as friend but as enemy?

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    1. Every seat that PAS competes will not be safe to others.

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    2. And najib will be dictator for life while john or hassan here got 72 virgin

      Beware john or hassan, those 72 virgins maybe too old to hahahaha

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    3. Oooop…… he likes old strumpets who have more experiences!

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  6. Come to think of it. U watch lawrence of arabia over and over and over.

    You know what.....regardless of the endings.....lawrence proposal to attack aqaba is epic

    Boo cheng hau should have seen it as attack on aqaba. But then boo reminds me of one fella zhu ge liang entrusted and failed to deliver

    I believe ck knows who he is....

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    1. Off topic...a few years back, I was very lucky to have watched the China-made tv series "Three Kingdom". This is available online and I would recommend it to anyone interested, but have to warn that the series is really long, but really worth watching. The English subtitles were absolutely excellent. Actor Chen Jianbin should get an equivalent of an Oscar for his role of Cao Cao. I got to learn more of Zhu Ge Liang here in this tv series than elsewhere, wakakakaka.

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    2. What happen to ma su? Ck is the best expert to explain in depth in this.

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    3. So much more to learn, so much to know more...so little time...yes, I tend to agree CK is the best person for all these, but alas, for the lack of time

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